Submitted by: Henry Bittig IOW Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemuende henry.bittig@io-warnemuende.de
Abstract:
Surface pCO2 is of great interest for the calculation of air-sea CO2 fluxes, uptake of anthropogenic CO2, and eventually the Global Carbon Budget. However, underlying data are usually scarce in space and time and require inter- and/or extrapolation. Compared to the open ocean, variability in coastal ecosystems can be particularly large, related to intense productivity and high turnover rates. As a result, the impact of coastal seas on the CO2 budget and their source or sink status is often associated with high uncertainties or even remains unclear. Here, we present a new monthly climatology of surface pCO2 for the coastal Baltic Sea. On one side, we use accurate surface pCO2 data from ship-of-opportunity (SOOP) observations between 2003 and 2021. On the other side, we developed a novel extrapolation approach that exploits ecosystem model data of pCO2 variability to inform the mapping. It provides both an estimate of mapped pCO2 as well as of mapping uncertainty for the climatology. At the same time, the uncertainty data can help to identify gaps in observation networks and to improve monitoring strategies. Over the past 2 decades, we observe increasing surface pCO2 (ca. +1.5 µatm yr–1) in the shallower Southern Baltic Sea, while no significant temporal trend is discernible in the Central Baltic Sea. Compared to higher trend estimates for previous periods in the literature, this may be indicative of a reduction of CO2 source strength or eventually transition into (an increasing) CO2 sink of this coastal sea.
Primary Session Choice: SS003 Coastal Aquatic Greenhouse Gas Fluxes Under Global Change
Authors:
A new pCO2 climatology to assess the air-sea CO2 balance and to guide monitoring strategies of the Baltic Sea
Category
Scientific Sessions > SS003 Coastal Aquatic Greenhouse Gas Fluxes Under Global Change
Description
Preference: Oral